Chii chiri mutengo wazvino weTungsten
Ndeupi mutengo wazvino we tungsten?
1. Nhanganyaya: Nei Tungsten proces zvine basa mumisika yenyika
Tungsten, kazhinji anonzi "simbi yehondo," ichokwadi chakakomba nekuda kwekuomarara kwake kusingaenzaniswi (nzvimbo yakakwirira yesimbi yakaitika pa3,422 ° C) uye isingadzivisiki basa mukudzivirira, magetsi, uye aindirwi magetsi. Ne china inodzora 80% yemugodhi wepasi rose, mutengo wekutengesa zvakananga zvinokanganisa kugadzira zvikamu kubva kuErospace kuErospace kugadzirwa.
Key Mutengo Vatyairi Vanotyaira:
✔ Kuderedzwa kushoma kweTungsten mumidziyo yekucheka (i.e.
✔ Geopolitumical tissions inokanganisa yeChinosimudza export quotas
✔ Kugadzirwa nesimba
2. Yazvino tungsten Mutengo maitiro (2025 kugadzirisa)
As of Q2 2025, tungsten mitengo inoratidza dunhu redunhu:
| Chigadzirwa | Q2 2024 Price | Q2 2025 Price | Yoy Shanduko | 2025 Forecast renji |
| APT (Ammonium Paratungstate) | $340-360/mt | $375-400/mt | ↑10-12% | $380-420/mt |
| Tungsten fungisisa (65% Wo₃) | $240-260/mt | $270-290/mt | ↑12% | $260-310/mt |
| Tungsten poda | $45-50/kg | $52-58/kg | ↑15% | $50-65/kg |
(* Apt = 全球基准报价)
Mutengo unovhiya zvinhu:
Chinese Kugadzirwa Kucheka: Zvakatipoteredza Audits muJiangxi Province (Mahombe Mining Hub)
Pentagon Stockpiling: US Defense Orders Up 25% yeArmor-Kuboora Ammunition
3. Kiyi Factors Kutyaira Tungsten Mitengo
Supply-Side Zvishongo
China's Dominance: 82% yeGlobal Tungsten Supply muna 2023 (USGS data), ine Export Licensa Slates
Kuvharwa kwangu: Portugal's Panasqueira mine (Europe yakakura) yakamiswa mashandiro muna 2023
Kuda-parutivi Boom
EV mabhatiri: Tungsten-akamhanya manede anowedzera lithium-ion battery hupenyu (Tesla Patrents akaiswa)
5g Zvivakwa: Tungsten Copper Alloys yekupisa kusarongeka muBase STATIONS
4. Mutengo wedunhu akasiyana
| Musika | APT Mutengo (USD / MT) | Premium / Discount |
| China (fob) | 340 | Baseline |
| Europe (rotterdam) | 390 | 15% |
| USA (chibvumirano chekudzivirira) | 420 | 24% |
Zvikonzero zveKupokana:
EU Tariffs: 17% Anti-Dumping Duty pane Chinese tungsten
Logistics: Mari yekutumira kubva kuAsia kuEurope yakawedzera ne200% kubvira 2020
5. Mutengo Forecast: 2024-2030 Outlook
Ipfupi-term (2024-2025):
BULHY CEAS: Mitengo inogona kurova madhora mazana mana / mt kana china inoenderera mberi zvinotumira kunze kwenyika
Bearish Scenario: Kuderera kunogona kudonhedza kudiwa ne10% (pamhando dzepasi pebhangi)
Kutyisidzira kwenguva refu:
Recycling Tech: 30% yeTungsten ikozvino kugadzirwazve (kumusoro kubva pa15% muna 2010)
Kutsiva: molybdenum alloys kutsiva tungsten mune mamwe maturusi ekucheka
6. Mashandisiro anoita maindasitiri
Nyaya yekudzidza: Sandvik mhinduro
Strategy: Akasaina 5-gore rakagadziriswa-mutengo zvibvumirano neChinese vanopa
R & D: yakaderedzwa tungsten zvemukati mumidziyo yemabhonzo ne20% kuburikidza nano-coatings
Mari inochengetedza-inochengetedza:
✔ Tarisa-kutenga panguva yeQ1 (tsika dzakaderera mitengo)
✔ kusanganisa kuiswazve tungsten (inochengetedza $ 15 / kg vs. mhandara mhandara)
7. Kupi kwekutarisa chaiyo-nguva mitengo?
Zviwanikwa zvemahara:
Metal Bulletin (vhiki nevhiki Apt zvinyorwa)
London Metal Shanduko (LME 小金属合约)
Yakabhadhara Premium Services:
Argus Media (madhora zviuru zvishanu / gore kuti azivikanwe)
SMM (Shanghai Metals Musika) (中国本土数据)
Mhedziso: Kufamba neValatile Tunsten Musika
Nemitengo paMakore mashanu-Yakakwirira, Vagadziri vanofanirwa:
Stiers Suppelers Inopfuura China (i.e., Vietnam, Rwanda)
Chengetedza mari mukudzokorora kuti udzivise kuperevedza kuperevedza
Monitor Policy Inoshanduka mune chaiyo-nguva uchishandisa zvishandiso zviri pamusoro
Unoda tsika yekuongorora mutengo? Bvunza ne:
✔ Vatengesi veCommodity (traxys, molmet)
✔ Mapoka emaindasitiri (Ichia, 钨业协会)
